James Spann: Mild Thanksgiving Day for Alabama, with rain tonight

James Spann predicts mild weather for Thanksgiving in Alabama from the Alabama NewsCenter on Vimeo.

HAPPY THANKSGIVING! Temperatures will rise into the 67 to 72 degree range in Alabama today with increasing clouds. Most communities will be dry during the day, but rain is moving into the state tonight. The main window for rain will come around 9am tonight through Friday noon; Amounts of about 1 inch are likely. Some thunderstorms are possible, but no severe storms are expected.

Most places in Alabama will be dry Friday afternoon and overnight, although clouds will linger. The high will be in the mid 60s.

THE WEEKEND: Saturday morning will be dry across the state; then we will introduce the possibility of scattered showers mainly over western counties on Saturday afternoon. It’s going to be another mild day with a high of almost 70 degrees, almost 10 degrees above the average for late November. Another bout of rain is likely Saturday night through early Sunday when an upper low is outlined in the west.

The Storm Prediction Center issued a low, marginal risk of severe thunderstorms for the southwest corner of Alabama Saturday night. A few storms could produce strong, gusty winds there. There is also a conditional threat of a tornado or two, but no severe storms are expected for the rest of the state.

The Saturday night/early Sunday rain event should also bring the state about 1 inch of rain. Skies will be partly sunny on Sunday afternoon as dry air returns; the high will be close to 70.

NEXT WEEK: Dry weather is the story Monday and Tuesday with highs in the upper 60’s and low 70’s. Then a dynamic system will drive rain and storms into the state on Wednesday. We cannot rule out some strong to severe storms, but it is too early to define the threat. Dry, cooler air arrives on Thursdays and Fridays with highs in the 50s.

HIGH SCHOOL PLAYOFF GAMES: The weather will be dry for Friday night’s Alabama high school football games. Skies will be mostly cloudy with temperatures generally in the 50’s.

IRON BOWL: It’s going to be a mild day for Alabama’s biggest football game of the year on Saturday (Auburn at Alabama, kick-off 2:30 p.m.). We’re now projecting low 70’s at kickoff. A shower or two can’t be ruled out, but widespread rain won’t reach Tuscaloosa until after the game is over. The chance of a shower on Saturday afternoon is 30-35%. Temperatures will drop into the mid-60s by the final whistle, and rain will spread across western Alabama by 9 p.m. Saturday.

Saturday morning remains dry for the tailgaters.

ON THIS DAY IN 2001: Three dozen tornadoes made landfall in Alabama. The first major tornado of the day cut a 39-mile path from near Kennedy in Lamar County to just south of Carbon Hill in Walker County. Two people died in a trailer near Kennedy. An F2 tornado cut a short path through Haleyville, Winston County, just before 11:30 a.m., injuring 13 people.

Just northeast of Birmingham, an F2 tornado was moving along I-59 near Argo as it cut a nearly 14-mile path in St. Clair County.

The strongest tornado of the day made landfall about 1:19 p.m. southeast of Oneonta in Blount County. The tornado dealt three different areas of F4 damage. The day’s other two fatalities occurred just after 3 p.m. near Sand Rock in Cherokee County when an F2 tornado cut an 8-mile path. Here, too, the fatalities were in a mobile home.

ON THIS DAY IN 2004: Sixteen tornadoes made landfall in Alabama, including one that made landfall near Talladega Superspeedway. It would continue through Bynum, where two mobile homes were badly damaged by fallen trees, one of those trees killing a 75-year-old woman.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to view the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

For more weather news and information from James Spann and his team, visit AlabamaWx.