Warmer pattern; Showers over northern Alabama this morning: The Alabama Weather Blog

RADAR CHECK: A series of showers will sweep across northern Alabama this morning; This rain should have left the state by mid-morning. Then this afternoon skies will be partly sunny with a high in the range of 58-62 degrees. The average high for Birmingham on November 22nd is 63.

REST OF THE WEEK: Tomorrow will be a dry and mild day with a high in the mid to high 60s as the warming trend continues. Then, on Thanksgiving Day, clouds will increase and some rain could move into the state’s western counties by mid to late afternoon. Rain is more likely across the country on Thursday evening. Expect a high Thursday in the 67-72 range, 5-10 degrees above average.

Friday looks set to be a fairly wet day with periods of rain and possible thunderstorms. No risk of heavy storms and it won’t rain all day. Friday’s high will be in the mid-60s.

THE WEEKEND: Forecast confidence on Saturday remains low due to model madness (inconsistency). An upper low to the west in the southern branch of the jet stream keeps rain over the state for at least part of the day. The reliable European model continues to trend slower, suggesting it could rain for most of the day on Saturday. Like Friday, a thunderstorm is possible, but at the moment we don’t expect any severe storms. Saturday’s high will be in the mid 60’s and the rain will end on Saturday evening.

Sunday will be dry and comfortable with a high in the 63-67 range.

NEXT WEEK: An upper ridge will build over the Gulf Coast meaning much of the week will be mild and dry with highs in the 60s. We note that the European global model continues to point to a bout of rain on Wednesday. No sign of freezing temperatures for at least the next 10 days… See the daily weather briefing video for maps, graphs and more details.

IRON BOWL: For Saturday’s big game (Auburn, Alabama, kicks off at 2:30 pm CT in Tuscaloosa), we’re going to need rain during the game with temperatures generally in the low 60s. This remains a low confidence forecast; As the weekend approaches, we will have more clarity. But now you plan to take the rain gear with you. Rain is also likely in Tuscaloosa on Saturday morning.

TROPICS: All remains calm and tropical storm formation is very unlikely for the rest of the month. Hurricane season ends in 8 days.

ON THIS DATE IN 1992: A total of 45 tornadoes made landfall in the Tennessee and Ohio valleys. Georgia was badly hit by two F4, one F3, and three F2 tornadoes, killing six people and injuring 144. Indiana had a total of 15 tornadoes that day to set a record for a November outbreak and for the month of November. One, a multi-vertebrate Type F4, punched a 22-mile path through extreme southeastern Indiana and northern Kentucky. This tornado disproved the myth that tornadoes do not cross rivers, as this devastating tornado crossed the Ohio River twice. Indiana had a total of 15 tornadoes that day to set two state records, the largest tornado outbreak in November and the most tornadoes in November. This tornado outbreak contributed significantly to what would become November’s largest-ever November in terms of tornado numbers for the United States.

Alabama had a total of 13 tornadoes ranging in magnitude from F0 to F2, with no deaths and 53 injuries. The tornado that caused the most injuries occurred outside of Sardis City, damaging several buildings and injuring 12 people.

BEACH FORECAST: Click here to view the AlabamaWx Beach Forecast Center page.

Look here for the next weather briefing video by 3pm this afternoon…enjoy the day!

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